Liebe Listenteilnehmer,

im Folgenden ein Hinweis auf eine interessante Tagung, die Simulation in ihrem weiteren Kontext der Einbettung in Wissenschaftsproduktion und -kommunikation stellt.

Mit freundlichen Gruessen, With kind regards, Sincères salutations,

H. Peter OHLY ------------------------------------- IZ Sozialwissenschaften / Lennestr. 30 / 53113 BONN / Germany / Tel.: +49-228-2281-142 / Fax.: +49-228-2281-4142 / mailto:oh@iz-soz.de / http://www.gesis.org/SocioGuide / http://www.bonn.iz-soz.de/wiss-org

-----Ursprüngliche Nachricht----- Von: Deutschsprachige Diskussions- und Ankuendigungsliste fuer Wissenschafts- [mailto:GWTF-TALK@LISTSERV.DFN.DE]Im Auftrag von Torger Möller Gesendet: Montag, 16. Oktober 2006 16:38 An: GWTF-TALK@LISTSERV.DFN.DE Betreff: Betreff: Dealing with Uncertainty - Workshop, BBAW Berlin, 23.11.2006, 10 bis 17:30h

Liebe Kollegen,

ich möchte Sie herzlich zum Workshop „Dealing with Uncertainty. Simulation, Evaluation and Public Communication“ am 23. November 2006 an der Berlin-Brandenburgischen Akademie der Wissenschaft einladen. Der Workshop findet im Rahmen des Forschungsprojektes „Computersimulationen – Neue Instrumente der Wissensproduktion“ (WIE-Initiative der Akademie der Wissenschaft) statt und bringt Klimamodellierer und Medienforscher zum Umgang mit klimaprognostischen Unsicherheiten in Forschung und Medien ins Gespräch.

Besonders freue ich mich, Prof. Syukuro Manabe von der Princeton University mit einem Workshopbeitrag zur Geschichte der Klimamodellierung ankündigen zu dürfen. Prof. Manabe schrieb in den 1970er Jahren zusammen mit Richard T. Wetherald das erste globale Klimamodell. Darüber hinaus werden Dr. Hermann Held vom PIK Postdam und Dr. Johann Feichter vom MPI für Meteorologie Hamburg seitens der Klimaforschung detaillierte Einblicke in das Thema geben. Prof. Hans Peter Peters vom Forschungszentrum Jülich/Arbeitsgruppe „Mensch, Umwelt, Technik“ und Prof. Harald Heinrichs, Umweltkommunikation der Universität Lüneburg, werden aus Perspektive der Medienforschung die öffentliche Kommunikation von Klimaprognosen darstellen. Mein eigener Beitrag wird die neue epistemische Kultur der Simulation aus Sicht der Wissenschaftsforschung diskutieren.

Herzliche Grüße

Gabriele Gramelsberger Institut für Philosophie, FU Berlin gab@zedat.fu-berlin.de

_________________________________________________________________

Dealing with Uncertainty - Simulation, Evaluation and Public Communication Workshop at the Berlin-Brandenburg Academy of Science Thursday, 23. November 2006

- Programme -

10.00 - 10.45 h The Epistemic Culture of Simulation, Dr. Gabriele Gramelsberger, FU Berlin

10.45 - 11.45 h Early Development of Climate Modelling and the Prospect for the Future, Prof. Dr. Syukuro Manabe, Princeton University

12.00 - 12.45h Evaluation in Climate Modelling, Dr. Johann Feichter, MPI for Meteorology Hamburg

12.45 - 13.30h Dealing with Uncertainty: From Climate Research to Integrated Assessment of Policy Options, Dr. Hermann Held, PIK Potsdam

14.30 - 15.15 h Sustainability in Environmental Sciences and Public Communication, Prof. Dr. Harald Heinrichs, University of Lueneburg

15.15 - 16.00 h Simulation and Public Communication/Presentation of the Result of two Media Studies, Prof. Dr. Hans Peter Peters, Research Center Juelich/ FU Berlin; Jana Demnitz, Franziska Mrosek, FU Berlin

16.30 - 17.30h Discussion

*Global Change in Water Availability* Evening lecture by Prof. Dr. Syukuro Manabe, Princeton University, 19:00 h, Einstein Saal, Berlin-Brandenburg Academy of Science

Location BBAW Berlin BBAW Berlin-Brandenburg Academy of Science, Jägerstraße 22/23 – 10117 Berlin http://www.bbaw.de/forschung/wie

Workshop-Registration by 15.11.2006 Dr. Gabriele Gramelsberger, FU Free University of Berlin, Institute of Philosophy gab@zedat.fu-berlin.de

- Concept -

Dealing with Uncertainy - Simulation, Evaluation and Public Communication Workshop at the Berlin-Brandenburg Academy of Science, 23.11.2006, 10:00 – 17:30 h Evening Lecture by Prof. Syukuro Manabe on “Global Change of Water Availability”, 23. 11. 2006, 19:00 h

The workshop brings together climate modellers and science communication researchers. The unifying question is: How to deal with uncertainty, concerning global warming, in climate research as well as in socio-political and public contexts? On the one hand climate modellers have to ensure the quality and validity of their results which have an enormous impact on society and politics and on the other science communication researchers have to analyse the media strategies in communicating uncertainty to the public related to the sensitive topic of climate change. Although having different perspectives and relationships to climate change, the core on which both groups of researchers relate to is the computer based simulation and its scenarios. Talking about uncertainty mainly denotes talking about the new and vague method of simulation. Therefore “dealing with uncertainty” can be reformulated as “dealing with simulation”. The workshop will give first hand insight into current strategies of climate modellers, how they deal with the uncertainty of the simulation’s results, how they improve them, and how they increase the validity of these results for policy options and public response to upcoming decisions. Furthermore the workshop will give information about the view of society, communicated by the Media, on the issue of climate change. Syukuro Manabe (Princeton University), the doyen of climate modelling who wrote the first global climate model together with Richard T. Wetherald in the 1970s, will talk about the early development of climate modelling and the prospect for the future. He will give a first hand insight in the developments, improvements and problems of climate modelling. Johann Feichter (MPI Hamburg), head of the group “Aerosols, Clouds and Climate", will present the advanced strategies for evaluating the current climate scenarios for the upcoming IPCC report 2007. Hermann Held (PIK Potsdam), senior researcher for uncertainty analysis of climate projections at the PIK Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, will point out the major developments for the derivation of robust (climate policy) advice from coupled complex models under massive uncertainty. Dealing with uncertainty is the key issue in integrated assessment processes for achieving reliable and sustainable results at the interface between science, politics and the public.

Harald Heinrichs (Lueneburg University), assistant professor at the Institute for Environmental Communication at the University of Lueneburg, will explore the relationship between sustainability in environmental sciences and public communication. Hans Peter Peters [Research Center Juelich], communication researcher at the Program Group Humans-Environment-Technology of the Research Center Juelich, Germany, will describe some problems of public communication of science, focusing on computer simulation. Together with Harald Heinrichs he has recently completed a study on public meaning construction of climate change and it consequences. Jana Demnitz and Franziska Mrosek [FU Berlin], Master's candidates at the Free University Berlin, will present results of exploratory studies of how computer simulation is included in TV science coverage and how the simulation sequences are perceived by the audience.

A science research overview on the new epistemic culture of simulation will be given as an introduction in the workshop by Gabriele Gramelsberger (FU Berlin). Gabriele Gramelsberger, science philosopher at the Institute of Philosophy of the Free University of Berlin, has carried out during the last years a science research study on climate modelling based on interviews. The study is part of the ongoing research project “Computer Based Simulation – New Instrument of Knowledge Production in Science” which is related to the BBAW research programme “Knowledge for Decision-making Processes – Research on the Relationship between Science, Politics and Society”.

- Speakers -

Jana Demnitz is a student of journalism and mass communication at the Free University of Berlin. In her Master's Thesis she studies how media users perceive and make sense of computer simulation sequences in TV science programs.

Johann Feichter is head of the group "Aerosols, Clouds and Climate" at the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg. He is responsible for the development of the HAM aerosol module. http://www.mpimet. mpg.de/en/institut/mitarbeiter/feichterjohann/index.html - Lohmann U. and Feichter J. (2005): Global indirect aerosol effects: A Review, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics; 5 (2005), 715-737 - SRef-ID: 1680-7324/acp/2005-5-715

Gabriele Gramelsberger is a senior researcher at the Institute ofPhilosophy of the Free University of Berlin. Within her research project “Computer Based Simulation – New Instrument of Knowledge Production in Science” she has carried out a science research study on climate modelling. http://userpage.fu-berlin.de/~gab/ - Gramelsberger, G. (2006): Story Telling with Code - Archaeology of Climate Modelling, in: TeamEthno-online, Issue 2, University of Lancaster, June 2006

Harald Heinrichs is an assistant professor at the Institute for Environmental Communication at the University of Lueneburg. He is analysing the impact of environmental, sustainability and risk communication on society. http://www.uni-lueneburg.de/ infu/team/heinrichs.html - Heinrichs, H.; Peters, H. P. (2005): Media Communication on Climate Change and Coastal Protection: Reception and Interpretations by the Audience, in: Scientific Knowledge and Cultural Diversity : Proceedings of the Public Communication of Science and Technology Network, 8th International Conference Barcelona 2004. - Barcelona, Rubes Editorial S.L.,226 – 230

Syukuro Manabe is head of the Programme in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences at Princeton University. Together with Richard T. Wetherald he wrote the first global climate model in the 1970s. http://www.aos.princeton.edu/WWWPUBLIC/ manabe/manabe.html - Manabe, S./Wetherald, R.T. (1975): The Effects of Doubeling the CO2 Concentration on the Climate of a General Circulation Model, in: Journal of Atmospheric Sciences 32/1975, 3-15 - Wetherald, R. T./Manabe, S. (2002): Simulation of Hydrologic Change Associated with Global Warming. Journal of Geophysical Research (107, D19): 4379-4393

Franziska Mrosek is a student of journalism and mass communication at the Free University of Berlin. As part of her Master's Thesis she conducts a content analysis of German TV science programs, looking particularly at the journalistic presentation of computer simulation.

Hermann Held is a senior researcher at PIK Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. He is researching on global warming mitigation strategies robust under uncertainty of climate projections. http://portal.pik-potsdam.de/members/held - Held, H., Kleinen, T. (2004): Detection of climate system bifurcations by degenerate fingerprinting, Geophys. Res. Lett. 31, L23207 - Schneider von Deimling, T. ,Held, H., Ganopolski, A., S. Rahmstorf, S. (2006): Climate sensitivity estimated from ensemble simulations of glacial climates, Climate Dynamics 27, 149-163

Hans-Peter Peters is communication researcher at the Program Group Humans-Environment-Technology of the Research Center Juelich, and adjunct professor of science journalism at the Institute for Media and Communication Studies of the Free University Berlin. His research deals with public communication of science, technology and the environment. In particular he studies the science-journalism interface and sense-making by the media audience. http://www.fz-juelich.de/mut/mut_home - Peters, H. P./Heinrichs, H. (2005): Öffentliche Kommunikation über Klimawandel und Sturmflutrisiken: Bedeutungskonstruktion durch Experten, Journalisten und Bürger, Jülich